Adobe’s CEO said that Flash is safe from HTLM5. Just the fact that Adobe made a board level comment on this is telling enough, the answer itself is somewhat lacking.
It’s nice that they’re optimistic for improvements in HTML. Seeing what disasters both the XHTML and in a somewhat lesser extent SVG tracks of the W3C standardization process have been, we could definitely use them. They should admit though, that a full fledged HTML5 with rich CSS3+ is the death knell for Flash.
He’s right to say that it’s difficult to deliver a consistent HTML5 experience across browsers on the desktop. The fact that he conveniently ignores mobile browsers is more than a bit misleading.
Mobile internet usage is exploding and most of that usage is centered around Webkit based browsers. Mobile webkit is also pretty rapidly incorporating HTML5 features and things like CSS transitions. This gives developers who want to make a great mobile site for a big and important part of their audience a single very compelling target to develop for.
Like Gruber said, one of the most noteworthy non-announcements for iPhone 3.0 was no Flash. Who really needs it anyway on the iPhone? And why would Apple let somebody else in on their platform?
Is Flash dead? No. Is there for the first time a clear path forward to a world without Flash? Yes, finally!
- I have yet to see decently usable sites in Flash. Any suggestions welcome. Nalden.net comes close. ↩